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Axios: Trump to accelerate campaign for regime change in Cuba
2026-05-29 16:28:16 / BOTA
US President Donald Trump is poised to escalate Washington's economic pressure campaign on Cuba in an effort to force regime change, Axios reported on Friday, citing sources. The island is already experiencing a near-total fuel shortage and daily power outages that can last up to 20 hours.
So far, the US has chosen a phased campaign designed to suffocate Havana but that avoids a direct military invasion, several unidentified officials told the media.
“The best way to describe it is ‘accelerationism,’” said one senior official, referring to the philosophy of accelerating societal collapse. “But we don’t want to destroy the regime yet. There is a method for that. It’s in stages.”
According to Axios, the strategy is designed in part to buy time while Trump remains engrossed in peace negotiations with Iran.
“Trump wants to exhaust all the leverage he can. But at this point, there’s not as much leverage as there used to be,” a second official told the outlet. A third added: “We have a pretty deep toolbox, especially when it comes to sanctions and their enforcement. More will be done.”
Several Axios sources suggested that the worsening economic conditions in Cuba caused by the US embargo would lead to unrest and ultimately regime change. “It’s going to be hot,” one source told Axios. “People won’t have electricity. Food spoils without refrigeration. People get angry. They might take to the streets.”
Another official noted that even if Trump wanted to launch an invasion, he would prefer it to be over in less than 48 hours. Otherwise, “it’s a developing quagmire. This could become a mess,” he explained.
While the US has so far refrained from a full-scale invasion of Cuba, a separate Politico report showed that the Pentagon has spent months positioning warships and weapons – including the USS Nimitz carrier strike group – in the country for a possible attack, while increasing reconnaissance operations.
Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez Parrilla warned this week that any military attack would cause a "bloodbath" and the deaths of thousands of Cubans and Americans alike.
He also accused the US of inflicting "collective punishment", saying Cubans are being subjected to conditions "that violate their human rights and cause pain, suffering and anguish".
UN human rights experts have also condemned the US fuel blockade, which they say constitutes "energy starvation" and a serious violation of international law.
Russia, along with several other countries, including China and Mexico, has supplied Cuba with humanitarian aid, including a shipment of about 700,000 barrels of crude oil in late March.
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