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CNN Analysis: Why Regime Change in Iran Is Not a Simple Matter! Experts Warn of Unforeseen Consequences
2025-06-23 16:24:13 / BOTA
United States President Donald Trump has hinted at the possibility of "regime change" in Iran, but this prospect may not be as simple as he presents it and the results may not match Washington's expectations, CNN reports.
Experts warn that overthrowing the regime in Tehran does not necessarily guarantee the coming to power of a pro-American or pro-Israeli government. On the contrary, there is a risk that even more radical figures will emerge on the scene, who could accelerate efforts to build a nuclear weapon as a means of defense against possible attacks by the United States and Israel.
While Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, could be replaced if he were killed, the failure of the entire regime would have grave consequences that American officials must consider. According to experts, such a scenario could lead to internal divisions and widespread instability in the Middle East.
Another possibility is for segments of the Iranian military to take power, but according to Trita Parsi, executive vice president of the Quincy Institute in Washington, “these factions would not represent the kind of regime the US has in mind.”
Iran, a country where separatist movements have been demanding autonomy or independence for decades, risks deep divisions and internal chaos if the government falls completely.
"The overthrow of the regime means the destruction of the state and leaving behind chaos that would last," Parsi told CNN.
The supreme leader in Iran is elected by the Assembly of Experts, an 88-member body, and serves for life, without formally appointing a successor.
However, according to a report by The New York Times, Khamenei has selected three senior clerics as candidates to take his place in the event of his death, citing three Iranian officials familiar with the matter.
Any replacement process could be accompanied by efforts by separatist groups that have opposed the Islamic Republic for decades, seeing in this situation an opportunity to act.
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