Rare before the derby with Milan, probability: Inter champion

The derby is always a derby, but it will not be decisive for the title. This is because there are still 10 weeks to play, however, betting companies are convinced, almost all in unison, that the title will go to Inter at the end of Serie A.

Some are even going further, announcing right now who will be champion, an unprecedented event that has never happened in Italy. With eleven matches remaining (including the derby), this is a sensational move, which is quite unprecedented in recent years. Therefore, there is no need to wait for the result of Sunday evening's late match against Milan, let alone mathematical certainty.

According to the odds market, the Italian championship title is in the hands of the black and blues. So, there is no need for Inter fans to worry and be superstitious. According to analysts, Inter has an approximate 95% chance of winning the league. Lautaro and his teammates have had a phenomenal run, with a very different scenario from that at the beginning of the 2025-26 season, when operators predicted that Napoli were the favorites to win the title (then they were given odds of 2.50), followed by Inter (3.75). However, a derby is a derby and as they usually say in sports language there are no favorites and losers, the chances are always 50 to 50, especially when it comes to Inter and Milan who lead the Italian championship.

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