
Rama-Berisha 35 to 14: Build a monument to Basha in the courtyard of the Shqup

The risk that the opposition faces with Sali Berisha at the helm is not that it will lose the elections. Just as they are divided and quarreling with each other, they could lose them even if you put Trump as their party leader.
The latest poll published by the Center for the International Republican Institute shows that the difference between Edi Rama as prime minister and Sali Berisha as candidate for prime minister is 35 to 14, or 2.5 times in favor of Edi Rama. Weighted this in the electoral result, if the electoral cake is divided between Rama and Berisha, Rama is expected to emerge the winner with two-thirds of the votes.
The news is even worse for Berisha when it comes from Republicans, whom Democrats are hoping will support them in the elections.
The problem the DP has is that it will offer the Socialists the chance for an overwhelming majority, breaking every record in the DP's history since 1997.
The first time after 1997, when the DP gave Edi Rama the chance to have a constitutional majority at his disposal, was the 2017-2021 parliament, after the DP burned through its mandates and the replacement MPs were ready for any bargain with the government. And in a way, Rama spared them and did only a few things that were needed for a more peaceful election.
While the guilt of burning mandates has remained an orphan, the result of May 11 is no longer an orphan. It has a name and it is called Sali Berisha.
We know his 34-year-old alibis: "They stole it, they bought it, they sold it, they diverted it," etc. The problem is that after this, the Socialists will continue to govern with a constitutional majority and the opposition will lose even the little blocking power it has for joint reforms with the government.
Combined with the new wind of authoritarianism blowing from all sides, this is an even worse omen for the opposition, because of Sali Berisha.
I don't know how much the other small parties will be able to factor in to prevent the SP from having a constitutional majority, but the chances are small.
So the only victory that the DP and Berisha can achieve on May 11 is to break this difference that they have today with the SP, even with the small parties. Otherwise, make a monument to Lulzim Basha in the courtyard of the SHQUP, to remember as historical that result that they achieved in 2021, because the DP will never achieve that result again. And all the other results before, which at least did not allow the SP to have a constitutional majority, as is likely this time.
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