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Today's US elections/ How Democrats can take control of Congress, CNN lists the five factors that affect the outcome
2026-11-03 16:19:00 / BOTA
As the midterm elections begin in the United States, attention is focused on the race between Democrats and Republicans for control of Congress.
In an analysis for CNN, journalist Aaron Blake lists five factors that could help Democrats achieve a good result in the November 3 election. However, he emphasizes that, despite high expectations for Democrats, it is impossible to know for sure how the race will end.
According to CNN analysis, Donald Trump is, by many indicators, the most unpopular president in modern American history on the eve of the midterm elections.
Aaron Blake notes that Republicans may have a hard time winning elections when the number of Americans who have a negative opinion of the president is almost double those who have a positive opinion of him.
This could affect the outcome, despite the fact that the map of the Senate races is more favorable to Republicans.
Weakening electoral support for Trump
In the 2024 presidential election, Trump managed to gain greater support among young people, especially men, Latino voters, and those who do not regularly participate in elections.
But according to polls cited by CNN, all three of these groups have significantly changed their attitudes towards him.
The analysis also highlights that trade tariffs and the war with Iran appear to have damaged support for Trump even among white voters without college degrees, one of the groups that have traditionally supported him most strongly.
Dissatisfaction with the cost of living
The economy and prices are another factor that could influence Americans' vote.
According to CNN, Trump was elected president in large part because of high inflation during Joe Biden's administration and his promises to quickly solve this problem.
However, the analysis argues that some of Trump's policies have worsened the economic problems. CNN also recalls that the president has called concerns about affordability a "hoax" and has falsely claimed, according to the media, that he had solved the problem.
Another issue that CNN considers important is the discrepancy between Trump's electoral promises and his actions during his second term.
According to the analysis, Trump promised not to start new wars, but then did so. He also promised to solve the problem of inflation, while according to CNN, the situation has worsened.
This issue has also been raised by podcaster Joe Rogan, who supported Trump in the 2024 presidential election.
The fifth factor relates to voters' concerns about corruption.
According to CNN, there are increasing indications that this issue may be a bigger problem for Republicans than for Democrats.
The analysis links this to recent reports of Trump's personal financial gains and suspicions that some members of his administration have exploited official positions for economic gain.
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