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Mentor Kikia: Berisha's credibility has fallen, disappointment after the Primaries!
2025-03-14 16:14:03 / POLITIKË
The fragmentation of the opposition vote into 4-5 factions already created by the registration of coalitions and parties with the CEC for the May 11 elections favors the Socialist Party towards winning a fourth term.
Meanwhile, Berisha's decline in credibility also comes from the image he left with the primaries and the revolt of the deputies who left after he included his own loyalists in the safe lists for deputies instead.
And in this prism, the 'Piepol' polls on Report TV published last night (March 14) reflect the political reality regarding the credibility of the political leadership and the destination of the citizens' vote.
This was stated, among others, by analyst and journalist Mentor Kikia, on 'Today, Live in Albania', during an interview with moderator Nertil Agalliu. He emphasized that Rama and Berisha have the same goal with the lists, control of the party, but with completely opposite methodologies: One with its renewal and the release of senators on the open lists to maximize votes and the other to provide the party with older loyalists even in old age, disappointing the young, while disintegrating those who remained close to him during house arrest.
"The Albanian voter, except for the loyal voter of the DP and the SP, who is stoic, the rest is unclear but we call it gray. But I actually don't know what color to put on them at the moment because they have become even darker than the gray itself and they move with their attitude. Two months before the elections, as the days pass and the campaign starts, the perception will change. But remaining with the figures of your survey that you have published, I believe that at the level of credibility, I am not saying the opposition but its leadership, because I want to separate the leadership from the opposition since the latter is broader than the DP, so the credibility of Mr. Berisha has not changed from what it had at the beginning. I am one of the skeptics of his attitudes. It had its own influence after the DP held the primaries, held the elections, counted the votes, the result came out and so far it was positive. But the bad thing happened later because the results of the primaries were not taken into consideration and the list did not have the winners of the primaries. "The primaries should have been considered until they were held, or not held at all. This also influenced the revolt within the deputies and the party, who, while they had expectations after the primaries, revolted and left," the analyst says for Report TV, pointing out the disappointing image produced by the DP primaries.
As for the leadership of the two parties, he underlines that they have a single goal: Control of the parties, but with different methodologies:
"Rama and Berisha have aimed to continue to maintain control over the Party. Rama has kept almost the entire government in safe areas, the MPs who are absolutely part of his group and is complicating the rest with young people on the safe lists. Those who were not sure that they would be loyal to his security and those who leave as a result of the cycle in politics, Rama chose the path of democratic departure, by putting them on the open list. The departure of senators makes them maximally involved in the campaign for jobs and votes, which can lead to maximizing the vote on the ground. Because this is how he ensures the mandate, the party's loyalty and the maximum number of votes.
Berisha chose another path to control the party. In addition to keeping his allies close, because the opposition needs and has this cost, he released 8 mandates and on the other hand kept his loyal people who stayed with him during the time of house arrest on the safe list. Here he differs from the SP list. Because Berisha has people of great age like himself, and this brings a reaction from the young people who sacrifice, and in the end the one who didn't even get votes in the Primary is safely included in the list. Their methodologies are different, Rama is renewing the party, Berisha will have to maintain the same image", he analyzes.
As for the vote of May 11, he again sticks to the figures of the Piepoli and Report TV poll in perception, as he thinks that the fragmentation of the opposition vote into 4-5 factions favors Rama, while a united opposition would have defeated the SP in votes and mandates.
"The competition is even greater, it is not only the SP and the DP, as there are also new parties, a right-wing coalition like that of Dashamir Shehi and others that are not to be ignored. There are also 3 new parties that have made their mark in public access and have high expectations. That is why these mandates become difficult, a big and strong competition, a big range. Many parties will not convert votes into mandates with this strong competition. I favored the SP in this situation with the loss of votes of small parties. That is why an opposition alliance was needed, because all together they can get more votes than the SP, but by not translating into mandates, the government may lean towards the SP. The opposition parties have red dividing lines, Berisha has a red line with Basha and Shehi, or Albania Becomes with that Bashka and the others, with Agron Shehaj, so they have found their corner and refused to cooperate. "The fragmentation of the vote does not translate into parliamentary mandates, so we have 4 or 5 factions ," concludes Kikia.
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